Summer Plate Preview with The Jumps Punter
Onto the action
After a first look through the race I had a shortlist of six horses that I feel will be thereabouts in what looks a really good race. Let’s have a little look at each and see what we have in store!
Cernunnos is the only runner for connections given that they had a few provisionally entered before the final declaration stage and he looks an interesting runner. He ran well at a similar type of course (Kempton) two starts back when never really being able to get into the race, and given how the race unfolded he was too far back. The form of that race has worked out well with a few of the other runners coming out and performing well since then. Last time he was tried over further and it didn’t work out for him, but he’s back down in trip for this race. He’s a young horse that can progress further. I do however feel that there are other horses in the race that have shown a little better form than him.
Germany Calling ran well last time and beat a few of today’s rivals so must enter the short list. He did appear to run around a little when getting his head in front and was well positioned to win. Due to this I feel he may again find one or two that are too good for him.
Henryville has a tongue tie added for this race. He doesn’t look the easiest horse to ride and wasn’t great at some of his fences last time. He was well beaten by Long House Hall last time and I don’t think he will overturn that form. He is added to the shortlist as he does have some good consistent past form.
Theinval won a novice chase last time by 12 lengths – the second horse that day has since ran well to finish second. He’s unexposed as a chaser but going back to his hurdles form I can link form again with Long House Hall when the pair met in the Coral Cup at Cheltenham in March with the latter horse beating him that day. Having looked back at past form he’s performed best at courses like he runs at today. This could well bring out the improvement that he needs to beat Long House Hall. He’s also 6lb lower in the handicap than when contesting the Coral Cup so is well handicapped over fences. The worry is that he’s having his first run in a competitive handicap chase and sometimes lack of experience can tell.
Ballynagour has got some really smart past chase form in graded races. He ran really well last time in the Summer Cup at Uttoxeter over 3m traveling well through the race to finish second. He’s 8lb higher in the handicap today than he was last time partly due to how he performed on that occasion but also the jockey that rode him last time was claiming 3lb. That really won’t help his chances today carrying that extra weight in such a competitive handicap. However, I still feel at the price he’s worth an each way bet. Just given the level of form he showed last time and his past runs in graded races.
Long House Hall has some good past form in the book over hurdles finishing second in the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham festival off a handicap mark 3lb lower than today. Now he’s switched his attentions to chasing and based on his run last time he seems just as good over the larger obstacles. He ran well last time in a big field handicap at Uttoxeter off the same handicap mark as what he runs off today. The trip will be fine for him; he jumped well last time and he didn’t appear badly handicapped. The stable was a little quiet to what they normally are when he last run. Their horses now appear to be running well again which can only help him. He was held up last time for much of the race and pulled hard. I felt he was given a good ride but I do feel they will go back to how they rode him in the Coral Cup he moved up to sit just off the leaders mid race and I feel given how this course rides that would suit him perfect.
Form wise he’s beat a few of today’s rivals over hurdles and fences, on what I seen of his performance last time I think he has the best chance of winning this years Summer Plate.
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