Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes – Newbury 5f 34y
The Super Sprint is perhaps the most difficult punting race of the entire flat season. A big field with lots of good value on offer is usually the sort of race I adore. It is somewhat surprising then that I absolutely loathe this race from a punting perspective. The facts are we know extremely little about the horses in this race and that makes the race a complete minefield. On the other hand it is a great race to watch and it will as always prove a very fruitful form line to follow.
25 rip-roaring 2 year old speed machine’s are set to start on Saturday, pace, draw bias and position will all play a factor in what is going to be a commentator’s nightmare. Mrs Danvers went off as the 9-2 favourite last year and fairly romped home, the current favourite this year and heading the market is Maggies Angel.
Trained by Richard Fahey and the choice of Paul Hanagan she is quite clearly a well thought of 2 year old. Her form stacks up fairly well and she deserves her place at the top of market. The issue I have with this horse is that she shaped as if another furlong on top of 6f’s would suit rather than a furlong less which is what she gets here. At such a short price I am happy to take her on.
Others towards the top of the market are Corinthia’s Knight for rookie trainer Archie Watson, Mother of Dragons for the in-form Joseph Tuite and Debutante’s Ball for Stan Moore. Corinthia Knight brings some creditable form to the table and he is speedy so should be well suited to this race. Mother of Dragon was held up at Royal Ascot but ran on well enough to suggest she could be competitive here while Debutante’s Ball was drawn wrong at Ascot before running well enough in a group 3 abroad. They all have solid claims however for me Clive Cox has a really good crop of two year olds this year. We saw just that at Royal Ascot with Heartache and Prince of the Dark and one of his two year olds looks well worth a small each way play in here at such a big price.
That horse is Swing out Sister, perhaps not an obvious choice given Cox’s other runner is much better fancied by the market however the main reason for such price disparity is because Adam Kirby rides Snazzy Jazzy. Adam Kirby struggles to do 9-0, he could never get down to 8-6 to ride Swing out Sister so the fact he rides Snazzy Jazzy means absolutely nothing. If anything the fact Cox still runs Swing out Sister speaks volumes to me about her chances. Her debut performance promised a lot and given how green she was it is reasonable to assume she has a lot more to offer. The experience will have done her good and of 8-6 she is handily weighted. She’s a huge price and is worth chancing in what is a very tough race to predict.
Another who looks overpriced is McBride’s runner Onefootinparadise. McBride sent out Spiritual Lady last year who ran a huge race off bottom weight. This horse runs for the same owners, carries bottom weight once again and at 33s generally she could well outrun her odds. Her form stacks up and it is notable that she has got closer to winning with every start. High draws have done well here over the last few years so stall 16 could be a plus and off such a low weight she rates a lively outsider.
How we bet:
Swing out Sister 0.25pts E/W 25-1 widely available
Onefootinparadise 0.25pts E/W 33-1 widely available